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Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $350.5M, down 0.8% sequentially; diluted EPS was $0.92 and Adjusted EBITDA was $57.7M, essentially flat versus Q4 2024, while operating income improved to $33.5M .
  • Offshore Energy Services (OES) margins expanded (Adjusted Operating Income +$3.1M QoQ) on $7.1M lower repairs and maintenance, offset by higher training costs; Government Services revenue rose $3.4M on the Irish Coast Guard ramp; Other Services declined seasonally by $6.0M .
  • Management affirmed 2025 and 2026 guidance (total revenue $1.42–$1.615B and $1.525–$1.775B; Adjusted EBITDA $230–$260M and $275–$335M) and highlighted FX sensitivity of ~±$1.2M to Adjusted EBITDA per £0.01 move in GBP/USD .
  • Call commentary flagged tariffs and macro risks but reiterated confidence given OES production weighting (~80%) and long-term SAR contracts; catalysts include the Sikorsky S‑92 long-term support agreement and Norway advanced air mobility (AAM) demonstrations beginning in Q3 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • OES profitability: Adjusted Operating Income rose to $47.1M (+$3.1M QoQ) as repairs and maintenance fell by $7.1M; management noted continued constructive market conditions and tight equipment supply supporting rates .
  • Government Services ramp: Revenue +$3.4M QoQ primarily from the Irish Coast Guard transition; segment Adjusted Operating Income +$3.9M QoQ .
  • Strategic positioning and guidance: “We continue to have a positive outlook… supported by the stability of Government Services, weighting of OES to production support, and geographic breadth” — CEO Chris Bradshaw; 2025/2026 guidance affirmed .
  • S‑92 support agreement: Long-term Sikorsky TAP contract provides price visibility/stability and >90% parts coverage for Bristow’s >60 S‑92 aircraft, a meaningful cost/availability mitigant .

What Went Wrong

  • Seasonal softness in Other Services: Revenue fell $6.0M QoQ with Adjusted Operating Income down $4.5M, driven by Australia seasonality, FX headwinds, and lower dry-leasing .
  • Working capital drag on cash flow: Operating cash flow was $(0.6)M as working capital used $56.4M, tied to receivables timing, government contract start-up costs, and inventory builds to mitigate supply chain risks .
  • Higher tax expense: Income tax expense was $10.2M versus a Q4 benefit, reflecting earnings mix and deductible interest expense, partially offset by deferred tax assets recognition .

Financial Results

Consolidated performance versus prior periods and prior year

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$337.1 $353.5 $350.5
Net Income ($USD Millions)$6.6 $31.8 $27.4
Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.07 $0.92
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$47.5 $57.8 $57.7
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$31.8 $33.5

Note: “—” indicates data not disclosed in the referenced document for that specific measure/period.

Segment revenue and profitability (sequential comparison)

SegmentQ4 2024 Revenue ($USD Millions)Q1 2025 Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 2024 Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)Q1 2025 Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)
Offshore Energy Services$240.2 $239.8 $44.2 $47.1
Government Services$82.6 $85.9 $9.8 $13.7
Other Services$30.8 $24.8 $6.6 $2.0
Total$353.5 $350.5 $52.3 $54.4

KPIs: Flight hours by segment (sequential comparison)

SegmentQ4 2024 Flight HoursQ1 2025 Flight Hours
Offshore Energy Services (Europe)9,395 8,749
Offshore Energy Services (Americas)10,505 10,002
Offshore Energy Services (Africa)4,239 4,680
Government Services4,242 3,941
Other Services3,585 3,400
Total31,966 30,772

Actual vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ1 2025 ActualQ1 2025 ConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$350.5 $353.0*Miss of $2.5M (~0.7%)*
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$57.7 $52.2*Beat of $5.5M (~10.5%)*
EPS ($USD)$0.92 (Diluted) $0.58 (Primary EPS)*Beat of $0.34*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total Revenues ($USD Billions)2025$1.420 – $1.615 $1.420 – $1.615 Maintained
Total Revenues ($USD Billions)2026$1.525 – $1.775 $1.525 – $1.775 Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)2025$230 – $260 $230 – $260 Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)2026$275 – $335 $275 – $335 Maintained
OES Revenues ($USD Millions)2025$950 – $1,060 $950 – $1,060 Maintained
Government Services Revenues ($USD Millions)2025$350 – $425 $350 – $425 Maintained
Other Services Revenues ($USD Millions)2025$120 – $130 $120 – $130 Maintained
Cash Interest ($USD Millions)2025~$45 ~$45 Maintained
Cash Taxes ($USD Millions)2025$25 – $30 $25 – $30 Maintained
Maintenance Capex ($USD Millions)2025$15 – $20 $15 – $20 Maintained
Dividend policyStarting Q1 2026Initiate $0.125/share quarterly Reiterated capital allocation framework (dividend Q1 2026) Maintained

FX sensitivity: ±~$1.2M Adjusted EBITDA per £0.01 GBP/USD move (context to guidance) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Tariffs/macro riskMonitoring tariff uncertainty; fixed/firm prices on near-term aircraft deliveries New U.S. tariffs on aircraft parts add complexity; not expected to be material; bigger risk is oil demand and OPEC+ supply Rising concern but manageable
Supply chainSignificant challenges, esp. S‑92 parts; penalties impacted UK SAR; expected to persist in 2025 Some improvement on S‑92; delays remain across fleets Gradual improvement
Regional OES trendsStrength in Nigeria, Brazil, Suriname; tight supply and strong pricing Americas and Africa growth; Europe stable with U.K. utilization lower Continued strength outside Europe
AAM initiativesPlan to operate BETA eCTOL in Norway later in 2025 Norway regulatory sandbox formalized; cargo demos start Q3 Progressing toward execution
Capital allocationDebt paydown to ~$500M gross by end-2026; share buybacks; dividend starting Q1 2026 Framework reiterated; execution beginning Ongoing execution
Oil price sensitivityNo tangible impact at current activity; activity resilient ≥ ~$60 Brent Resilient at current prices

Management Commentary

  • “We continue to have a positive outlook… supported by the stability of our Government Services business, the preponderant weighting of our Offshore Energy Services business to production support activities, and the breadth and diversity of the geographic markets we serve.” — Chris Bradshaw, CEO .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA was $58 million this quarter, consistent with last quarter… lower operating and administrative expenses offsetting the lower revenues.” — Jennifer Whalen, CFO .
  • “Recently implemented U.S. tariffs… introduce incremental costs and additional complexity… we do not expect the direct impact… to have a material impact.” — Chris Bradshaw, CEO .
  • “We were very pleased to reach [a] long-term agreement with Sikorsky for S‑92 support… providing price visibility and stability… well into the next decade.” — Chris Bradshaw, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance confidence: Management reaffirmed 2025/2026 outlook despite macro/tariff uncertainties, citing stable Government Services cash flows, OES production weighting (~80%), and global diversification .
  • Supply chain: Incremental improvements on S‑92 components; delays persist across fleets; mitigation via inventory and long-term OEM agreements .
  • Working capital: Q1 outflow driven by timing of government receivables, pre-operation costs, and inventory builds; expected to normalize in subsequent quarters .
  • Oil price threshold: No tangible impact on offshore activity currently; activity resilient at or above ~$60 Brent .
  • AAM Norway: Cargo demos with BETA’s ALIA CX300 in Q3 on a regulatory sandbox basis; potential for scope expansion if results are positive .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 results versus S&P Global consensus: Revenue missed modestly ($350.5M vs $353.0M*), Adjusted EBITDA beat ($57.7M vs $52.2M*), and EPS (company diluted) beat S&P Primary EPS consensus ($0.92 vs $0.58*). Limited estimate count (n≈1–2) suggests potential for revisions. Values retrieved from S&P Global.* .
  • Implications: Strong EBITDA/margin performance and affirmed guidance likely bias consensus EBITDA upward; FX and OES cadence/renewals may temper near-term revenue expectations.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • OES margin resilience and constructive rates: Sequential margin expansion on lower maintenance costs underscores pricing power amid tight supply; watch U.S./Suriname/Brazil project timing and Africa demand .
  • Government Services ramp in 2025: IRCG and UKSAR2G transitions continue; earnings power and quality margins expected to be more fully evident in 2026 and beyond .
  • Cash flow timing: Q1 working capital use tied to contract ramp and inventory builds; management expects normalization, with liquidity of $254.3M at quarter-end .
  • FX sensitivity: GBP/USD is a key driver (~±$1.2M Adjusted EBITDA per £0.01); FY guidance assumes average GBP/USD 1.33 (2025) .
  • Strategic de-risking: Long-term S‑92 support agreement improves parts coverage/cost visibility, mitigating maintenance volatility through the next decade .
  • AAM optionality: Norway eCTOL cargo demo in Q3 positions Bristow at the forefront of zero/low-emission aviation; early learnings could inform future commercial opportunities .
  • Capital returns roadmap intact: Debt paydown, opportunistic buybacks, and dividend initiation in Q1 2026 reaffirmed; see framework execution through 2025–2026 .